Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.066803 0.073920 0.081713 0.090921 0.101555 0.113516 0.128078
2024-10-20 0.055904 0.065524 0.076911 0.091552 0.110130 0.133264 0.164819
2024-10-27 0.047998 0.058739 0.072234 0.090788 0.116228 0.150811 0.203107
2024-11-03 0.043041 0.054568 0.069784 0.091943 0.124481 0.172430 0.252531
2024-11-10 0.039248 0.051237 0.067732 0.092969 0.132346 0.194830 0.309678
2024-11-17 0.035849 0.047931 0.065131 0.092566 0.137678 0.214148 0.367782
2024-11-24 0.033450 0.045710 0.063724 0.093603 0.145279 0.238797 0.444775
2024-12-01 0.031445 0.043815 0.062514 0.094658 0.152945 0.265286 0.536655
2024-12-08 0.029670 0.042065 0.061287 0.095427 0.160120 0.292561 0.643386
2024-12-15 0.027952 0.040230 0.059698 0.095291 0.165469 0.317388 0.757230
2024-12-22 0.026239 0.038249 0.057656 0.094036 0.168305 0.337346 0.869117
2024-12-29 0.025274 0.037384 0.057383 0.095980 0.178098 0.376745 1.071004
2025-01-05 0.023766 0.035533 0.055285 0.094248 0.179802 0.396861 1.223560
2025-01-12 0.022805 0.034526 0.054579 0.095174 0.187761 0.436862 1.496610
2025-01-19 0.021698 0.033191 0.053163 0.094479 0.191790 0.467287 1.763531
2025-01-26 0.020955 0.032427 0.052719 0.095743 0.200921 0.517241 2.204839
2025-02-02 0.020251 0.031679 0.052232 0.096846 0.209909 0.570994 2.769843
2025-02-09 0.019421 0.030649 0.051121 0.096428 0.214772 0.612751 3.346026
2025-02-16 0.018828 0.030008 0.050704 0.097526 0.224141 0.676592 4.287503
2025-02-23 0.018279 0.029409 0.050318 0.098643 0.233874 0.747827 5.576989
2025-03-02 0.017735 0.028785 0.049830 0.099456 0.242942 0.822222 7.288387
2025-03-09 0.017134 0.028018 0.048991 0.099312 0.249029 0.887116 9.298569
2025-03-16 0.016463 0.027081 0.047735 0.097986 0.251021 0.933354 11.365566